Chapecoense x Avai Betting tips for March 15 in Brazil Campeonato Catarinense

Our betting tip for Chapecoense x Avai, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 19:30

Chapecoense 2.31

X 2.90

Avai 2.98

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chapecoense x Avai:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Chapecoense x Avai

The main points for the tip for Chapecoense x Avai: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Avai in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chapecoense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Chapecoense x Avai, with Chapecoense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chapecoense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Chapecoense has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Avai playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Chapecoense x Avai?

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Analysis from Chapecoense x Avai for the Brazil Campeonato Catarinense – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chapecoense x Avai right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chapecoense x Avai

Is it worth betting on Chapecoense?

🔵 Chapecoense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $510.90
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$99.10 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $513.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$217.00.

Is betting on Avai worth it?

🔴 Avai: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$43.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chapecoense x Avai

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chapecoense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Avai

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Chapecoense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Chapecoense.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chapecoense x Avai

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.