Chapecoense x Goias Betting tips for October 21 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Chapecoense x Goias, Monday, 21/10/2024

📅 21/10/2024 23:00

Chapecoense 2.60

X 2.92

Goias 2.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chapecoense x Goias:

🔮 Goias wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Goias, you can win up to $1400.00!

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The main points for the tip for Chapecoense x Goias: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $680.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Goias in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Chapecoense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Chapecoense is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Goias has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Chapecoense x Goias?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Chapecoense x Goias for the Brazil Serie B – 21 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chapecoense x Goias right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1205088 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Goias

Is it worth betting on Chapecoense?

🔵 Chapecoense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $633.60;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$36.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Goias?

🔴 Goias: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $702.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$92.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chapecoense x Goias

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Chapecoense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Goias

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Chapecoense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chapecoense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Chapecoense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chapecoense x Goias

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.