Chapecoense x Santos Betting tips for October 16 in Brazil Serie B
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16/10/2024 23:00 |
 Chapecoense4.40 |
X 3.20 |
Santos  1.85 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chapecoense x Santos:
๐ฎ Santos wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos, you can win up to $925.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Chapecoense x Santos: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $305.0. |
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Analysis from Chapecoense x Santos for the Brazil Serie B – 16 of October
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๐๏ธ Chapecoense X Santos – Brazil Serie B |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chapecoense and Santos.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202780 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Santos
Is it worth betting on Chapecoense?
๐ต Chapecoense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $680.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$120.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $572.00
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$168.00.
Should you bet on Santos?
๐ด Santos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $459.00;
- And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$1.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chapecoense x Santos
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Chapecoense
โฝ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Santos
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Chapecoense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Chapecoense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Santos.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chapecoense x Santos
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 1.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.00 goals.
