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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Chapecoense x Vitoria Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Chapecoense Chapecoense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 13% 1 X 2
Vitoria Vitoria
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Chapecoense x Vitoria Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Chapecoense x Vitoria, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
20:00
Chapecoense Chapecoense
1.75
X
3.50
Vitoria Vitoria
4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chapecoense x Vitoria:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chapecoense x Vitoria:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $131.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $595.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Chapecoense scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Chapecoense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Vitoria.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Chapecoense x Vitoria

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Chapecoense x Vitoria?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chapecoense x Vitoria, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Chapecoense x Vitoria for the Brazil Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chapecoense X Vitoria – Brazil Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Chapecoense – Winning probability: 55.67% | Fair line: 1.8
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.18% | Fair line: 3.21
๐Ÿ”ด Vitoria – Winning probability: 13.15% | Fair line: 7.6
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chapecoense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chapecoense and Vitoria.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chapecoense x Vitoria

Is it worth betting on Chapecoense?

๐Ÿ”ต Chapecoense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$20.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $775.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$85.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Vitoria?

๐Ÿ”ด Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $432.90;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$437.10.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Chapecoense x Vitoria

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chapecoense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chapecoense x Vitoria

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Chapecoense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Chapecoense. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chapecoense x Vitoria

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves