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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Charleroi II x OH Leuven II Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Amateur Division
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Belgium First Amateur Division
Charleroi II Charleroi II
PREDICTION No tip
OH Leuven II OH Leuven II
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Charleroi II x OH Leuven II Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Amateur Division

Our betting tip for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
Charleroi II Charleroi II
1.84
X
3.62
OH Leuven II OH Leuven II
3.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

Some important points for the tip for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Charleroi II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $391.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on OH Leuven II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Charleroi II scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Charleroi II matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Charleroi II x OH Leuven II?

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Analysis from Charleroi II x OH Leuven II for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 24 of November

🏟️ Charleroi II X OH Leuven II – Belgium First Amateur Division
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Charleroi II – Winning probability: 50.26% | Fair line: 1.99
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.22% | Fair line: 4.31
πŸ”΄ OH Leuven II – Winning probability: 26.52% | Fair line: 3.77
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Charleroi II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

Should you bet on Charleroi II?

πŸ”΅ Charleroi II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$80.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $602.60
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$167.40.

Is it worth betting on OH Leuven II?

πŸ”΄ OH Leuven II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $658.80;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$71.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Charleroi II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Charleroi II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Charleroi II.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves