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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Charleroi II x OH Leuven II Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Amateur Division
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Belgium First Amateur Division
Charleroi II Charleroi II
PREDICTION No tip
OH Leuven II OH Leuven II
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Charleroi II x OH Leuven II Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Amateur Division

Our betting tip for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
Charleroi II Charleroi II
1.87
X
3.60
OH Leuven II OH Leuven II
3.44

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

The main points for the tip for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Charleroi II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $391.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on OH Leuven II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Charleroi II scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Charleroi II matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

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Summary

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Analysis from Charleroi II x OH Leuven II for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 24 of November

🏟️ Charleroi II X OH Leuven II – Belgium First Amateur Division
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Charleroi II – Winning probability: 50.38% | Fair line: 1.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.32% | Fair line: 4.29
πŸ”΄ OH Leuven II – Winning probability: 26.30% | Fair line: 3.8
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Charleroi II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

Should you bet on Charleroi II?

πŸ”΅ Charleroi II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$65.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $598.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$172.00.

Is it worth betting on OH Leuven II?

πŸ”΄ OH Leuven II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $634.40
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$105.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Charleroi II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Charleroi II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Charleroi II.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charleroi II x OH Leuven II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves