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Home » Predictions » Others » Charleroi x Standard Liege Betting tips for November 30 in Belgium First Division A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 19h45 Belgium First Division A
Charleroi Charleroi
PREDICTION Charleroi wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Standard Liege Standard Liege
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Charleroi x Standard Liege Betting tips for November 30 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Charleroi x Standard Liege, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
19:45
Charleroi Charleroi
1.85
X
3.35
Standard Liege Standard Liege
4.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Charleroi x Standard Liege:

🔮 Charleroi wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charleroi, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Charleroi x Standard Liege:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Charleroi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $43.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Standard Liege in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 Standard Liege did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Charleroi matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Charleroi x Standard Liege, with Charleroi as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Standard Liege matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Standard Liege conceded at least 3 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Standard Liege as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Charleroi x Standard Liege for the Belgium First Division A – 30 of November

🏟️ Charleroi X Standard Liege – Belgium First Division A
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Charleroi – Winning probability: 74.44% | Fair line: 1.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.81% | Fair line: 5.95
🔴 Standard Liege – Winning probability: 8.75% | Fair line: 11.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Charleroi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Charleroi x Standard Liege right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Charleroi x Standard Liege

Is it a good idea to bet on Charleroi?

🔵 Charleroi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $629.00;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$369.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $399.50;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.50.

Is betting on Standard Liege worth it?

🔴 Standard Liege: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $279.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$631.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Charleroi x Standard Liege

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Charleroi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charleroi x Standard Liege

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Charleroi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Charleroi.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Charleroi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charleroi x Standard Liege

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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