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Home » Predictions » Others » Charlton x Chelsea Betting tips for January 10 in England FA Cup
Saturday, 10 January 2026, 20h00 England FA Cup
Charlton Charlton
PREDICTION Chelsea Wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
Chelsea Chelsea
ODD: @1.35
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Charlton x Chelsea Betting tips for January 10 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Charlton x Chelsea, Saturday, 10/1/2026
📅 10/1/2026
20:00
Charlton Charlton
7.50
X
4.90
Chelsea Chelsea
1.35

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Charlton x Chelsea:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $675.00!

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Important information for your tip for Charlton x Chelsea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-360.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Charlton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Chelsea has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Charlton x Chelsea for the England FA Cup – 10 of January

🏟️ Charlton X Chelsea – England FA Cup
📅 10 of January, 2026 – 20:00
🔵 Charlton – Winning probability: 6.66% | Fair line: 15.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.07% | Fair line: 19.74
🔴 Chelsea – Winning probability: 88.27% | Fair line: 1.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Charlton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Tips for the Match Odds market for Charlton x Chelsea

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Charlton and Chelsea.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460319 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it worth betting on Charlton?

🔵 Charlton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $455.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $195.00
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$755.00.

Is betting on Chelsea worth it?

🔴 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 88.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $308.00
  • And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$188.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Charlton x Chelsea

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Charlton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlton x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Charlton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Charlton. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlton x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves