Charlton U21 x Brentford U21 Betting tips for October 1 in England Development League 2

Our betting tip for Charlton U21 x Brentford U21, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 09:00

Charlton U21 1.44

X 4.68

Brentford U21 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Charlton U21 x Brentford U21:

🔮 Charlton U21 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Charlton U21, you can win up to $720.00!

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Important information for your tip for Charlton U21 x Brentford U21: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Charlton U21 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-185.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford U21 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Charlton U21 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brentford U21 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Brentford U21 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Charlton U21 x Brentford U21 for the England Development League 2 – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Charlton U21 x Brentford U21 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Charlton U21 x Brentford U21

Should you bet on Charlton U21?

🔵 Charlton U21: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 840 times – profiting $369.60;
• And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $331.20
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$578.80.

Is betting on Brentford U21 worth it?

🔴 Brentford U21: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$650.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Charlton U21 x Brentford U21

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Charlton U21
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Charlton U21 x Brentford U21

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Charlton U21 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Charlton U21.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Brentford U21.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Charlton U21 x Brentford U21

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.