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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Chateauroux x Avranches Betting tips for November 24 in France National
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 France National
Chateauroux Chateauroux
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 17% 1 X 2
Avranches Avranches
ODD: @3.23 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Chateauroux x Avranches Betting tips for November 24 in France National

Our betting tip for Chateauroux x Avranches, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
Chateauroux Chateauroux
1.91
X
3.23
Avranches Avranches
3.72

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chateauroux x Avranches:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1615.00!

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The main points for the tip for Chateauroux x Avranches:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chateauroux in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avranches in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Avranches, Chateauroux scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Chateauroux conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Chateauroux has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Avranches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Chateauroux x Avranches

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Summary

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Analysis from Chateauroux x Avranches for the France National – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chateauroux X Avranches – France National
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
๐Ÿ”ต Chateauroux – Winning probability: 49.53% | Fair line: 2.02
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.58% | Fair line: 3.07
๐Ÿ”ด Avranches – Winning probability: 17.90% | Fair line: 5.59
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chateauroux
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Chateauroux x Avranches is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chateauroux x Avranches

Should you bet on Chateauroux?

๐Ÿ”ต Chateauroux: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $455.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$45.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $735.90
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$65.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Avranches?

๐Ÿ”ด Avranches: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $489.60;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$330.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chateauroux x Avranches

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chateauroux
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chateauroux x Avranches

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Chateauroux, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Chateauroux.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chateauroux x Avranches

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves