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Home » Predictions » Others » Chateauroux x US Orleans 45 Betting tips for March 2 in France National
Saturday, 02 March 2024, 18h30 France National
Chateauroux Chateauroux
PREDICTION No tip
US Orleans 45 US Orleans 45
Don't miss this prediction!

Chateauroux x US Orleans 45 Betting tips for March 2 in France National

Our betting tip for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45, Saturday, 2/3/2024
📅 2/3/2024
18:30
Chateauroux Chateauroux
2.84
X
3.05
US Orleans 45 US Orleans 45
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45

Important information for your tip for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chateauroux in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on US Orleans 45 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $475.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, US Orleans 45 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Chateauroux conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against US Orleans 45.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chateauroux x US Orleans 45 for the France National – 2 of March

🏟️ Chateauroux X US Orleans 45 – France National
📅 2 of March, 2024 – 18:30
🔵 Chateauroux – Winning probability: 32.71% | Fair line: 3.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.74% | Fair line: 3.05
🔴 US Orleans 45 – Winning probability: 34.55% | Fair line: 2.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chateauroux
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1068144 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45

Is betting on Chateauroux worth it?

🔵 Chateauroux: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $607.20;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$62.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $676.50;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$6.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on US Orleans 45 worth it?

🔴 US Orleans 45: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $455.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chateauroux x US Orleans 45

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chateauroux
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Chateauroux, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Chateauroux.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Chateauroux.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chateauroux x US Orleans 45

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves