Chaves x Portimonense Betting tips for December 20 in Portugal Segunda Liga
| 📅 20/12/2025 14:00 |
 Chaves1.64 |
X 3.60 |
Portimonense  4.71 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chaves x Portimonense:
🔮 Chaves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chaves, you can win up to $820.00!
Some important points for the tip for Chaves x Portimonense:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chaves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Portimonense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Portimonense, Chaves scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Chaves matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Portimonense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Portimonense as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chaves x Portimonense?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chaves x Portimonense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Chaves x Portimonense for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 20 of December
🏟️ Chaves X Portimonense – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Chaves – Winning probability: 68.95% | Fair line: 1.45
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.06% | Fair line: 5.54
🔴 Portimonense – Winning probability: 12.99% | Fair line: 7.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chaves x Portimonense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1454870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chaves x Portimonense
Is it worth betting on Chaves?
🔵 Chaves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $441.60;
- And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $468.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.00.
Is it worth betting on Portimonense?
🔴 Portimonense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $482.30;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$387.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chaves x Portimonense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chaves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chaves x Portimonense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Chaves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Chaves.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chaves x Portimonense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
