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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cheltenham x Oxford Utd Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England League 1
Cheltenham Cheltenham
PREDICTION Oxford Utd Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Oxford Utd Oxford Utd
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Cheltenham x Oxford Utd Betting tips for November 25 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Cheltenham Cheltenham
3.95
X
3.51
Oxford Utd Oxford Utd
1.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Oxford Utd wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Oxford Utd, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cheltenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oxford Utd in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $490.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Oxford Utd, Cheltenham scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd

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Summary

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Analysis from Cheltenham x Oxford Utd for the England League 1 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cheltenham X Oxford Utd – England League 1
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cheltenham – Winning probability: 12.22% | Fair line: 8.19
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.76% | Fair line: 6.34
๐Ÿ”ด Oxford Utd – Winning probability: 72.02% | Fair line: 1.39
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Cheltenham
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd

Is it a good idea to bet on Cheltenham?

๐Ÿ”ต Cheltenham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $354.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$526.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $401.60;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$438.40.

Should you bet on Oxford Utd?

๐Ÿ”ด Oxford Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$296.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cheltenham x Oxford Utd

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Cheltenham
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Cheltenham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Cheltenham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Oxford Utd.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cheltenham x Oxford Utd

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves