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Home » Predictions » Others » Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka Betting tips for September 29 in China Super League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h35 China Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng Chengdu Rongcheng
PREDICTION Chengdu Rongcheng wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka Betting tips for September 29 in China Super League

Our betting tip for Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
08:35
Chengdu Rongcheng Chengdu Rongcheng
1.20
X
6.54
Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka
10.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka:

🔮 Chengdu Rongcheng wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chengdu Rongcheng, you can win up to $600.00!

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Important information for your tip for Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chengdu Rongcheng in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Meizhou Hakka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Chengdu Rongcheng scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Meizhou Hakka scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Meizhou Hakka matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Meizhou Hakka conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Chengdu Rongcheng has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Meizhou Hakka playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Meizhou Hakka as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka?

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Analysis from Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka for the China Super League – 29 of September

🏟️ Chengdu Rongcheng X Meizhou Hakka – China Super League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 08:35
🔵 Chengdu Rongcheng – Winning probability: 96.55% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.65% | Fair line: 37.72
🔴 Meizhou Hakka – Winning probability: 0.80% | Fair line: 125.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chengdu Rongcheng
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chengdu Rongcheng and Meizhou Hakka.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka

Is it a good idea to bet on Chengdu Rongcheng?

🔵 Chengdu Rongcheng: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 96.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $194.00;
  • And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$164.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $166.20
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$803.80.

Is betting on Meizhou Hakka worth it?

🔴 Meizhou Hakka: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $90.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$900.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chengdu Rongcheng
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Chengdu Rongcheng and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Chengdu Rongcheng.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Meizhou Hakka.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chengdu Rongcheng x Meizhou Hakka

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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