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Home » Predictions » Others » Chesterfield x Barrow Betting tips for November 23 in England League 2
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 15h00 England League 2
Chesterfield Chesterfield
PREDICTION Chesterfield wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Barrow Barrow
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Chesterfield x Barrow Betting tips for November 23 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Chesterfield x Barrow, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
15:00
Chesterfield Chesterfield
1.95
X
3.40
Barrow Barrow
3.65

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chesterfield x Barrow:

🔮 Chesterfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chesterfield, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Chesterfield x Barrow:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chesterfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barrow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Chesterfield matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Chesterfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Barrow conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Chesterfield x Barrow for the England League 2 – 23 of November

🏟️ Chesterfield X Barrow – England League 2
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Chesterfield – Winning probability: 54.28% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.21% | Fair line: 4.72
🔴 Barrow – Winning probability: 24.52% | Fair line: 4.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chesterfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chesterfield and Barrow.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225887 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chesterfield x Barrow

Should you bet on Chesterfield?

🔵 Chesterfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $513.00;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$53.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is it worth betting on Barrow?

🔴 Barrow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $662.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$87.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chesterfield x Barrow

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chesterfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chesterfield x Barrow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Chesterfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Chesterfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Chesterfield.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chesterfield x Barrow

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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