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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Chichester City x Dartford Betting tips for November 26 in England Isthmian Premier Division
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England Isthmian Premier Division
Chichester City Chichester City
PREDICTION No tip
Dartford Dartford
Don't miss this prediction!

Chichester City x Dartford Betting tips for November 26 in England Isthmian Premier Division

Our betting tip for Chichester City x Dartford, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
πŸ“… 26/11/2024
19:45
Chichester City Chichester City
2.35
X
3.50
Dartford Dartford
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chichester City x Dartford:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Chichester City x Dartford

Important information for your tip for Chichester City x Dartford:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chichester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dartford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Dartford scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Chichester City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Chichester City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Dartford has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chichester City x Dartford for the England Isthmian Premier Division – 26 of November

🏟️ Chichester City X Dartford – England Isthmian Premier Division
πŸ“… 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Chichester City – Winning probability: 37.88% | Fair line: 2.64
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.46% | Fair line: 4.45
πŸ”΄ Dartford – Winning probability: 39.66% | Fair line: 2.52
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chichester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chichester City x Dartford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227868 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chichester City x Dartford

Should you bet on Chichester City?

πŸ”΅ Chichester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$107.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$230.00.

Is it worth betting on Dartford?

πŸ”΄ Dartford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$0.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chichester City x Dartford

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Chichester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chichester City x Dartford

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Chichester City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chichester City.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chichester City x Dartford

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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