Chieti x Vigor Senigallia Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 14/12/2025 13:30 |
 Chieti2.70 |
X 3.15 |
Vigor Senigallia  2.34 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chieti x Vigor Senigallia:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1575.00!
The main points for the tip for Chieti x Vigor Senigallia:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chieti in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vigor Senigallia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $74.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Vigor Senigallia, Chieti scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Chieti x Vigor Senigallia, with Chieti as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Chieti matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chieti conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Chieti has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Vigor Senigallia playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Chieti as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
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Analysis from Chieti x Vigor Senigallia for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December
🏟️ Chieti X Vigor Senigallia – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Chieti – Winning probability: 20.32% | Fair line: 4.92
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.83% | Fair line: 2.72
🔴 Vigor Senigallia – Winning probability: 42.85% | Fair line: 2.33
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Chieti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Chieti x Vigor Senigallia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chieti x Vigor Senigallia
Is it worth betting on Chieti?
🔵 Chieti: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $795.50;
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$165.50.
Should you bet on Vigor Senigallia?
🔴 Vigor Senigallia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $576.20
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$6.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chieti x Vigor Senigallia
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Chieti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chieti x Vigor Senigallia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Chieti, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Chieti.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Vigor Senigallia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chieti x Vigor Senigallia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
