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Home » Predictions » Others » Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani Betting tips for November 30 in Romania Liga 2
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 09h00 Romania Liga 2
Chindia Targoviste Chindia Targoviste
PREDICTION Chindia Targoviste wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
CSM Focsani CSM Focsani
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani Betting tips for November 30 in Romania Liga 2

Our betting tip for Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
09:00
Chindia Targoviste Chindia Targoviste
1.65
X
3.40
CSM Focsani CSM Focsani
4.78

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani:

🔮 Chindia Targoviste wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chindia Targoviste, you can win up to $825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chindia Targoviste in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-171.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CSM Focsani in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CSM Focsani conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CSM Focsani as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani for the Romania Liga 2 – 30 of November

🏟️ Chindia Targoviste X CSM Focsani – Romania Liga 2
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Chindia Targoviste – Winning probability: 77.09% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.49% | Fair line: 6.06
🔴 CSM Focsani – Winning probability: 6.42% | Fair line: 15.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Chindia Targoviste
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chindia Targoviste and CSM Focsani.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229758 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani

Is it a good idea to bet on Chindia Targoviste?

🔵 Chindia Targoviste: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $500.50;
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$270.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$456.00.

Is it worth betting on CSM Focsani?

🔴 CSM Focsani: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $226.80;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$713.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Chindia Targoviste
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Chindia Targoviste, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Chindia Targoviste.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Chindia Targoviste.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chindia Targoviste x CSM Focsani

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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