Citizen AA x Yuen Long Betting tips for December 21 in Hong Kong 1st Division
| 📅 21/12/2025 05:30 |
 Citizen AA4.72 |
X 4.43 |
Yuen Long  1.49 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Citizen AA x Yuen Long:
🔮 Yuen Long wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Yuen Long, you can win up to $745.00!
The main points for the tip for Citizen AA x Yuen Long:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Citizen AA in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Yuen Long in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Yuen Long, Citizen AA scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 Citizen AA matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Citizen AA conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Yuen Long conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Citizen AA has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Yuen Long playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Yuen Long as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Citizen AA x Yuen Long for the Hong Kong 1st Division – 21 of December
🏟️ Citizen AA X Yuen Long – Hong Kong 1st Division
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 05:30
🔵 Citizen AA – Winning probability: 15.36% | Fair line: 6.51
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.47% | Fair line: 6.46
🔴 Yuen Long – Winning probability: 69.17% | Fair line: 1.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Citizen AA
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Citizen AA x Yuen Long is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455188 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Citizen AA x Yuen Long
Is it a good idea to bet on Citizen AA?
🔵 Citizen AA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $558.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$292.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.43. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $514.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$335.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Yuen Long?
🔴 Yuen Long: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $338.10;
- And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$28.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Citizen AA x Yuen Long
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Citizen AA
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Citizen AA x Yuen Long
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Citizen AA, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Citizen AA.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Yuen Long.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Citizen AA x Yuen Long
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
