Citta di Fasano x Angri Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 1/12/2024 14:00 |
 Citta di Fasano2.45 |
X 3.10 |
Angri  2.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Citta di Fasano x Angri:
🔮 Citta di Fasano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Citta di Fasano, you can win up to $1225.00!
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Important information for your tip for Citta di Fasano x Angri: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Citta di Fasano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Citta di Fasano x Angri for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December
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🏟️ Citta di Fasano X Angri – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Citta di Fasano x Angri right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Citta di Fasano x Angri
Should you bet on Citta di Fasano?
🔵 Citta di Fasano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $652.50;
- And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$132.00.
Should you bet on Angri?
🔴 Angri: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $448.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Citta di Fasano x Angri
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Citta di Fasano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Citta di Fasano x Angri
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Citta di Fasano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Citta di Fasano.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Citta di Fasano.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Citta di Fasano x Angri
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
