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Home » Predictions » Others » Cittadella x Juve Stabia Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie B
Cittadella Cittadella
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Cittadella x Juve Stabia Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cittadella x Juve Stabia, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Cittadella Cittadella
2.43
X
3.00
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
3.07

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cittadella x Juve Stabia:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cittadella x Juve Stabia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cittadella in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Cittadella did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Cittadella matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Juve Stabia has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cittadella x Juve Stabia for the Italy Serie B – 30 of November

🏟️ Cittadella X Juve Stabia – Italy Serie B
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Cittadella – Winning probability: 36.90% | Fair line: 2.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.23% | Fair line: 2.92
🔴 Juve Stabia – Winning probability: 28.87% | Fair line: 3.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cittadella
⚽ Expected goals: 1.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cittadella x Juve Stabia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cittadella x Juve Stabia

Should you bet on Cittadella?

🔵 Cittadella: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $529.10
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $680.00
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is it worth betting on Juve Stabia?

🔴 Juve Stabia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $600.30
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cittadella x Juve Stabia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cittadella
⚽ Expected goals: 1.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cittadella x Juve Stabia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cittadella, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cittadella.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cittadella.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cittadella x Juve Stabia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 1.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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