Cittadella x Novara Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Cittadella x Novara, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 13:30

Cittadella 1.86

X 3.10

Novara 4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cittadella x Novara:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Cittadella x Novara

Some important points for the tip for Cittadella x Novara:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cittadella in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $23.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Novara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cittadella scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Novara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Novara, Cittadella scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cittadella x Novara, with Cittadella as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Cittadella conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Novara.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Novara has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cittadella x Novara?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cittadella x Novara, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cittadella x Novara for the Italy Serie C Group A – 14 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cittadella and Novara.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cittadella x Novara

Is betting on Cittadella worth it?

🔵 Cittadella: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $421.40
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$88.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is betting on Novara worth it?

🔴 Novara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $750.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$0.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cittadella x Novara

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cittadella
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cittadella x Novara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Cittadella, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Cittadella.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cittadella x Novara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.