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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Cittadella x Sudtirol Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Serie B
Cittadella Cittadella
PREDICTION Cittadella wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
Sudtirol Sudtirol
ODD: @2.01 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Cittadella x Sudtirol Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Cittadella x Sudtirol, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:00
Cittadella Cittadella
2.01
X
3.10
Sudtirol Sudtirol
3.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cittadella x Sudtirol:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cittadella wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cittadella, you can win up to $1005.00!

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Important information for your tip for Cittadella x Sudtirol:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cittadella in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-128.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sudtirol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cittadella scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Cittadella matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Cittadella conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Cittadella conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Sudtirol.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Cittadella x Sudtirol

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Summary

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Analysis from Cittadella x Sudtirol for the Italy Serie B – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Cittadella X Sudtirol – Italy Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Cittadella – Winning probability: 56.80% | Fair line: 1.76
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.40% | Fair line: 3.94
๐Ÿ”ด Sudtirol – Winning probability: 17.80% | Fair line: 5.62
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cittadella
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cittadella and Sudtirol.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cittadella x Sudtirol

Should you bet on Cittadella?

๐Ÿ”ต Cittadella: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $575.70;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$145.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$225.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sudtirol?

๐Ÿ”ด Sudtirol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $500.40;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$319.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cittadella x Sudtirol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cittadella
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cittadella x Sudtirol

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cittadella and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Cittadella.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Sudtirol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cittadella x Sudtirol

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves