Cliftonville x Crusaders Betting tips for November 25 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Cliftonville x Crusaders, Saturday, 25/11/2023

📅 25/11/2023 15:00

Cliftonville 2.10

X 3.35

Crusaders 2.93

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cliftonville x Crusaders:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Cliftonville x Crusaders

Some important points for the tip for Cliftonville x Crusaders: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cliftonville in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crusaders in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-88.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crusaders scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Crusaders matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Crusaders conceded at least 1 goal(s).

📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Cliftonville x Crusaders

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Analysis from Cliftonville x Crusaders for the Northern Ireland Premier – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cliftonville x Crusaders right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cliftonville x Crusaders

Is it a good idea to bet on Cliftonville?

🔵 Cliftonville: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $528.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $681.50;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$28.50.

Is betting on Crusaders worth it?

🔴 Crusaders: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $443.90;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$326.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cliftonville x Crusaders

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cliftonville
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cliftonville x Crusaders

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cliftonville, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cliftonville.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Crusaders.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cliftonville x Crusaders

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.