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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca Betting tips for October 19 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 03h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Club Atletico La Paz Club Atletico La Paz
PREDICTION Club Atletico La Paz wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Oaxaca Oaxaca
ODD: @1.82 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca Betting tips for October 19 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
03:00
Club Atletico La Paz Club Atletico La Paz
1.82
X
3.62
Oaxaca Oaxaca
3.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Club Atletico La Paz wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Atletico La Paz, you can win up to $910.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico La Paz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oaxaca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Oaxaca, Club Atletico La Paz scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 Oaxaca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca, with Club Atletico La Paz as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Club Atletico La Paz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Club Atletico La Paz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Oaxaca.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Club Atletico La Paz has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Oaxaca.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca:

Analysis from Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Club Atletico La Paz X Oaxaca – Mexico Liga de Expansion
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 03:00
๐Ÿ”ต Club Atletico La Paz – Winning probability: 62.34% | Fair line: 1.6
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.38% | Fair line: 4.91
๐Ÿ”ด Oaxaca – Winning probability: 17.28% | Fair line: 5.79
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Club Atletico La Paz
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Atletico La Paz?

๐Ÿ”ต Club Atletico La Paz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $508.40
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$128.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $524.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$276.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Oaxaca?

๐Ÿ”ด Oaxaca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$371.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Club Atletico La Paz
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Club Atletico La Paz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Club Atletico La Paz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Club Atletico La Paz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico La Paz x Oaxaca

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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