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Home » Predictions » Others » Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec Betting tips for November 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 20h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
PREDICTION Club Atletico Libertad wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Emelec Emelec
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec Betting tips for November 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
20:30
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
1.55
X
3.85
Emelec Emelec
5.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec:

🔮 Club Atletico Libertad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Atletico Libertad, you can win up to $775.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Libertad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $122.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Emelec in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Emelec conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 30 of November

🏟️ Club Atletico Libertad X Emelec – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Club Atletico Libertad – Winning probability: 80.52% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.68% | Fair line: 8.56
🔴 Emelec – Winning probability: 7.81% | Fair line: 12.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Club Atletico Libertad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Atletico Libertad?

🔵 Club Atletico Libertad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $445.50
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$255.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $342.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$538.00.

Is betting on Emelec worth it?

🔴 Emelec: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$536.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Club Atletico Libertad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Club Atletico Libertad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Club Atletico Libertad.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Club Atletico Libertad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Libertad x Emelec

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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