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Home » Predictions » Others » Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 21h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
PREDICTION No tip
LDU Quito LDU Quito
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Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito Betting tips for December 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
21:30
Club Atletico Libertad Club Atletico Libertad
4.80
X
3.85
LDU Quito LDU Quito
1.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

Some important points for the tip for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Libertad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on LDU Quito in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Club Atletico Libertad conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against LDU Quito.
👉 Even as a visitor, LDU Quito won the last 3 head-to-head matches Club Atletico Libertad´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 14 of December

🏟️ Club Atletico Libertad X LDU Quito – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Club Atletico Libertad – Winning probability: 15.48% | Fair line: 6.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.51% | Fair line: 4.44
🔴 LDU Quito – Winning probability: 62.01% | Fair line: 1.61
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452002 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

Is betting on Club Atletico Libertad worth it?

🔵 Club Atletico Libertad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $655.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$114.50.

Is it worth betting on LDU Quito?

🔴 LDU Quito: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $341.00;
  • And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$39.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Club Atletico Libertad.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Libertad x LDU Quito

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves