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Home » Predictions » Others » Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo Betting tips for November 18 in Uruguay Clausura
Monday, 18 November 2024, 19h30 Uruguay Clausura
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
PREDICTION Atletico Fenix Montevideo Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Atletico Fenix Montevideo Atletico Fenix Montevideo
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo Betting tips for November 18 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo, Monday, 18/11/2024
📅 18/11/2024
19:30
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
2.45
X
3.00
Atletico Fenix Montevideo Atletico Fenix Montevideo
2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo:

🔮 Atletico Fenix Montevideo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo, you can win up to $1400.00!

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The main points for the tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
👉 Club Atletico Progreso did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Club Atletico Progreso matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Fenix Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 18 of November

🏟️ Club Atletico Progreso X Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Uruguay Clausura
📅 18 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Club Atletico Progreso – Winning probability: 32.05% | Fair line: 3.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.48% | Fair line: 3.78
🔴 Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Winning probability: 41.48% | Fair line: 2.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1222248 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Should you bet on Club Atletico Progreso?

🔵 Club Atletico Progreso: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $464.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$216.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is betting on Atletico Fenix Montevideo worth it?

🔴 Atletico Fenix Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $738.00;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$148.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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