Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura
| 📅 27/11/2024 00:00 |
 Club Atletico Progreso7.60 |
X 4.50 |
Penarol  1.34 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol:
🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $670.00!
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The main points for the tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol for the Uruguay Clausura – 27 of November
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🏟️ Club Atletico Progreso X Penarol – Uruguay Clausura |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Atletico Progreso and Penarol.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228745 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol
Is it worth betting on Club Atletico Progreso?
🔵 Club Atletico Progreso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $132.00
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$848.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $420.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.
Is it worth betting on Penarol?
🔴 Penarol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $292.40
- And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$152.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Club Atletico Progreso.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Progreso x Penarol
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
