Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia Betting tips for April 12 in Uruguay Apertura
| 📅 12/4/2025 16:00 |
 Club Atletico Progreso2.85 |
X 3.00 |
Plaza Colonia  2.45 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia
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Some important points for the tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. |
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Analysis from Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia for the Uruguay Apertura – 12 of April
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🏟️ Club Atletico Progreso X Plaza Colonia – Uruguay Apertura |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Atletico Progreso and Plaza Colonia.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia
Is it worth betting on Club Atletico Progreso?
🔵 Club Atletico Progreso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $518.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $560.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Should you bet on Plaza Colonia?
🔴 Plaza Colonia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $638.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$78.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Club Atletico Progreso, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Plaza Colonia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Progreso x Plaza Colonia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
