Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo Betting tips for March 30 in Uruguay Apertura

Our betting tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo, Sunday, 30/3/2025

📅 30/3/2025 13:00

Club Atletico Progreso 3.10

X 3.25

Racing Club de Montevideo 2.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo

The main points for the tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club de Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $675.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Progreso scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Club Atletico Progreso matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Club Atletico Progreso conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Club Atletico Progreso conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Racing Club de Montevideo.

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Analysis from Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo for the Uruguay Apertura – 30 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Atletico Progreso and Racing Club de Montevideo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291320 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo

Is betting on Club Atletico Progreso worth it?

🔵 Club Atletico Progreso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $441.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$349.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$40.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Racing Club de Montevideo?

🔴 Racing Club de Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – profiting $540.50;
• And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$10.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Club Atletico Progreso.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Club Atletico Progreso.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Progreso x Racing Club de Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.