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Home » Predictions » Others » Club Celaya x Atlante Betting tips for November 15 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Friday, 15 November 2024, 00h30 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Club Celaya Club Celaya
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 45% 1 X 2
Atlante Atlante
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Celaya x Atlante Betting tips for November 15 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Club Celaya x Atlante, Friday, 15/11/2024
📅 15/11/2024
00:30
Club Celaya Club Celaya
2.55
X
3.00
Atlante Atlante
2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Celaya x Atlante:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Club Celaya x Atlante:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-1.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlante in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $18.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Club Celaya scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Atlante scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Club Celaya is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Club Celaya x Atlante?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Club Celaya x Atlante, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Club Celaya x Atlante for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 15 of November

🏟️ Club Celaya X Atlante – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 15 of November, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Club Celaya – Winning probability: 26.49% | Fair line: 3.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 45.21% | Fair line: 2.21
🔴 Atlante – Winning probability: 28.30% | Fair line: 3.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club Celaya x Atlante is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221437 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Atlante

Should you bet on Club Celaya?

🔵 Club Celaya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $403.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$337.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $900.00;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$350.00.

Is betting on Atlante worth it?

🔴 Atlante: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $476.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Celaya x Atlante

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Atlante

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Club Celaya and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Club Celaya.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Celaya x Atlante

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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