Club Celaya x Oaxaca Betting tips for March 30 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Club Celaya x Oaxaca, Sunday, 30/3/2025

📅 30/3/2025 01:00

Club Celaya 1.20

X 5.80

Oaxaca 10.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Celaya x Oaxaca:

🔮 Club Celaya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Celaya, you can win up to $600.00!

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The main points for the tip for Club Celaya x Oaxaca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Oaxaca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Club Celaya scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Oaxaca, Club Celaya scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Club Celaya x Oaxaca, with Club Celaya as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Oaxaca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Club Celaya is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Club Celaya has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Oaxaca playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Oaxaca as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Club Celaya x Oaxaca?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Club Celaya x Oaxaca:

Analysis from Club Celaya x Oaxaca for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 30 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Celaya and Oaxaca.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1291138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Oaxaca

Is it worth betting on Club Celaya?

🔵 Club Celaya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 95.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $192.00;
• And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$152.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $144.00
• And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$826.00.

Is it worth betting on Oaxaca?

🔴 Oaxaca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 10.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $90.20;
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$899.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Club Celaya x Oaxaca

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Oaxaca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Club Celaya and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Club Celaya.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Oaxaca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Celaya x Oaxaca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.