Club Celaya x Tapatio Betting tips for November 21 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 21/11/2024 01:00 |
 Club Celaya1.69 |
X 3.60 |
Tapatio  4.25 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Celaya x Tapatio:
🔮 Tapatio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tapatio, you can win up to $2125.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Club Celaya x Tapatio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-1.0. |
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Analysis from Club Celaya x Tapatio for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 21 of November
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🏟️ Club Celaya X Tapatio – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club Celaya x Tapatio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225205 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Tapatio
Is betting on Club Celaya worth it?
🔵 Club Celaya: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $338.10
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$171.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.
Is betting on Tapatio worth it?
🔴 Tapatio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $975.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$275.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Celaya x Tapatio
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Tapatio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Club Celaya and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Club Celaya.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Tapatio.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Celaya x Tapatio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
