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Home » Predictions » Others » Club Celaya x Venados FC Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 03h05 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Club Celaya Club Celaya
PREDICTION Club Celaya wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Venados FC Venados FC
ODD: @1.69 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Celaya x Venados FC Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Club Celaya x Venados FC, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
03:05
Club Celaya Club Celaya
1.69
X
3.65
Venados FC Venados FC
4.24

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club Celaya x Venados FC:

🔮 Club Celaya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Celaya, you can win up to $845.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Club Celaya x Venados FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $9.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Venados FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Venados FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Venados FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Venados FC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Club Celaya x Venados FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 10 of November

🏟️ Club Celaya X Venados FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 03:05
🔵 Club Celaya – Winning probability: 63.75% | Fair line: 1.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.02% | Fair line: 5.26
🔴 Venados FC – Winning probability: 17.24% | Fair line: 5.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club Celaya x Venados FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218775 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Venados FC

Should you bet on Club Celaya?

🔵 Club Celaya: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $441.60;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$81.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $503.50;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$306.50.

Should you bet on Venados FC?

🔴 Venados FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $550.80;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$279.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club Celaya x Venados FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Venados FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Club Celaya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Club Celaya.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Celaya x Venados FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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