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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Coban Imperial x Xelaju Betting tips for December 14 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 21h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial Coban Imperial
PREDICTION No tip
Xelaju Xelaju
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Coban Imperial x Xelaju Betting tips for December 14 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Coban Imperial x Xelaju, Saturday, 14/12/2024
πŸ“… 14/12/2024
21:00
Coban Imperial Coban Imperial
2.40
X
2.62
Xelaju Xelaju
3.14

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Coban Imperial x Xelaju:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Coban Imperial x Xelaju

The main points for the tip for Coban Imperial x Xelaju:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Coban Imperial in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $57.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Coban Imperial scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Xelaju matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Xelaju has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Coban Imperial has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Xelaju playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Coban Imperial x Xelaju for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 14 of December

🏟️ Coban Imperial X Xelaju – Guatemala Liga Nacional
πŸ“… 14 of December, 2024 – 21:00
πŸ”΅ Coban Imperial – Winning probability: 41.33% | Fair line: 2.42
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.44% | Fair line: 2.9
πŸ”΄ Xelaju – Winning probability: 24.23% | Fair line: 4.13
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Coban Imperial
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Coban Imperial x Xelaju is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236700 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Coban Imperial x Xelaju

Is it a good idea to bet on Coban Imperial?

πŸ”΅ Coban Imperial: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $574.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$16.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $550.80;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$109.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Xelaju?

πŸ”΄ Xelaju: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $513.60
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$246.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Coban Imperial x Xelaju

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Coban Imperial
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Coban Imperial x Xelaju

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Coban Imperial, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Coban Imperial.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Xelaju.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Coban Imperial x Xelaju

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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