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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Colchester x Barrow Betting tips for November 25 in England League 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England League 2
Colchester Colchester
PREDICTION No tip
Barrow Barrow
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Colchester x Barrow Betting tips for November 25 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Colchester x Barrow, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Colchester Colchester
2.37
X
3.30
Barrow Barrow
2.81

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Colchester x Barrow:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Colchester x Barrow

The main points for the tip for Colchester x Barrow:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Colchester in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Barrow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $490.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Colchester scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Barrow scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Colchester x Barrow, with Colchester as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Colchester conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Barrow.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Barrow has not lost any of them.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Colchester x Barrow

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Summary

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Analysis from Colchester x Barrow for the England League 2 – 25 of November

🏟️ Colchester X Barrow – England League 2
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Colchester – Winning probability: 30.46% | Fair line: 3.28
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.42% | Fair line: 3.29
πŸ”΄ Barrow – Winning probability: 39.12% | Fair line: 2.56
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Colchester
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Colchester and Barrow.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Colchester x Barrow

Is it a good idea to bet on Colchester?

πŸ”΅ Colchester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $411.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$289.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$10.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Barrow worth it?

πŸ”΄ Barrow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $705.90;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$95.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Colchester x Barrow

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Colchester
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colchester x Barrow

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Colchester, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Colchester.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colchester x Barrow

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves