Coleraine x Crusaders Betting tips for November 24 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Coleraine x Crusaders, Sunday, 24/11/2024

📅 24/11/2024 12:30

Coleraine 2.38

X 3.40

Crusaders 2.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Coleraine x Crusaders:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Coleraine x Crusaders

Some important points for the tip for Coleraine x Crusaders: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Coleraine in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $348.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crusaders in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-367.0. 👉 Crusaders did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Coleraine matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Coleraine conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Crusaders conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Crusaders as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Coleraine x Crusaders for the Northern Ireland Premier – 24 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Coleraine x Crusaders right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Coleraine x Crusaders

Is it worth betting on Coleraine?

🔵 Coleraine: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $607.20;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$47.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $696.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$14.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on Crusaders?

🔴 Crusaders: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $437.40;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$292.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Coleraine x Crusaders

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Coleraine
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Coleraine x Crusaders

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Coleraine, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Coleraine.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Crusaders.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Coleraine x Crusaders

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.