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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 7
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 06h30 Spain Tercera Group 7
Collado Villalba Collado Villalba
PREDICTION No tip
CDF Tres Cantos CDF Tres Cantos
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Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
06:30
Collado Villalba Collado Villalba
2.07
X
3.20
CDF Tres Cantos CDF Tres Cantos
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos

Important information for your tip for Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CDF Tres Cantos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Collado Villalba scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Collado Villalba matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Collado Villalba conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, CDF Tres Cantos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Collado Villalba is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 29 of September

🏟️ Collado Villalba X CDF Tres Cantos – Spain Tercera Group 7
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 06:30
πŸ”΅ Collado Villalba – Winning probability: 45.34% | Fair line: 2.21
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.66% | Fair line: 3.16
πŸ”΄ CDF Tres Cantos – Winning probability: 23.00% | Fair line: 4.35
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Collado Villalba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos

Is it a good idea to bet on Collado Villalba?

πŸ”΅ Collado Villalba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $481.50;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$68.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $704.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$24.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on CDF Tres Cantos worth it?

πŸ”΄ CDF Tres Cantos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $460.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$310.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Collado Villalba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Collado Villalba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Collado Villalba.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Collado Villalba x CDF Tres Cantos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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