Collerense x CE Constancia Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Tercera Group 11
| 📅 13/12/2025 16:30 |
 Collerense4.60 |
X 3.52 |
CE Constancia  1.65 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Collerense x CE Constancia:
🔮 CE Constancia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CE Constancia, you can win up to $825.00!
Important information for your tip for Collerense x CE Constancia:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Collerense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CE Constancia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Collerense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against CE Constancia.
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Analysis from Collerense x CE Constancia for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 13 of December
🏟️ Collerense X CE Constancia – Spain Tercera Group 11
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Collerense – Winning probability: 8.82% | Fair line: 11.34
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.85% | Fair line: 5.04
🔴 CE Constancia – Winning probability: 71.34% | Fair line: 1.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Collerense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Collerense x CE Constancia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Collerense x CE Constancia
Is it a good idea to bet on Collerense?
🔵 Collerense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $324.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$586.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.00.
Is betting on CE Constancia worth it?
🔴 CE Constancia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $461.50;
- And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$171.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Collerense x CE Constancia
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Collerense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Collerense x CE Constancia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Collerense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Collerense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Collerense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Collerense x CE Constancia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
