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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC Betting tips for November 15 in USA USL Championship
Friday, 15 November 2024, 23h00 USA USL Championship
Colorado Switchbacks FC Colorado Switchbacks FC
PREDICTION No tip
Las Vegas Lights FC Las Vegas Lights FC
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Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC Betting tips for November 15 in USA USL Championship

Our betting tip for Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC, Friday, 15/11/2024
πŸ“… 15/11/2024
23:00
Colorado Switchbacks FC Colorado Switchbacks FC
2.22
X
3.40
Las Vegas Lights FC Las Vegas Lights FC
2.91

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC

The main points for the tip for Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Colorado Switchbacks FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Las Vegas Lights FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $420.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Colorado Switchbacks FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Las Vegas Lights FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Las Vegas Lights FC, Colorado Switchbacks FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Colorado Switchbacks FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Las Vegas Lights FC playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC for the USA USL Championship – 15 of November

🏟️ Colorado Switchbacks FC X Las Vegas Lights FC – USA USL Championship
πŸ“… 15 of November, 2024 – 23:00
πŸ”΅ Colorado Switchbacks FC – Winning probability: 50.33% | Fair line: 1.99
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.81% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ Las Vegas Lights FC – Winning probability: 20.86% | Fair line: 4.79
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Colorado Switchbacks FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1221435 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Colorado Switchbacks FC?

πŸ”΅ Colorado Switchbacks FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $610.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$110.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $696.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$14.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Las Vegas Lights FC?

πŸ”΄ Las Vegas Lights FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $401.10;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$388.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Colorado Switchbacks FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Colorado Switchbacks FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Colorado Switchbacks FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Las Vegas Lights FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colorado Switchbacks FC x Las Vegas Lights FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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