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Home » Predictions » Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath Betting tips for November 30 in Wales Championship North
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Wales Championship North
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
PREDICTION Colwyn Bay wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Gresford Ath Gresford Ath
ODD: @1.12 Don't miss this prediction!

Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath Betting tips for November 30 in Wales Championship North

Our betting tip for Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
1.12
X
8.00
Gresford Ath Gresford Ath
13.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath:

🔮 Colwyn Bay wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colwyn Bay, you can win up to $560.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Colwyn Bay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $309.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gresford Ath in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Colwyn Bay scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Gresford Ath, Colwyn Bay scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Colwyn Bay matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Gresford Ath conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Colwyn Bay is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Colwyn Bay has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Gresford Ath.
👉 It is not a good time for Gresford Ath as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath for the Wales Championship North – 30 of November

🏟️ Colwyn Bay X Gresford Ath – Wales Championship North
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Colwyn Bay – Winning probability: 99.40% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.55% | Fair line: 182.06
🔴 Gresford Ath – Winning probability: 0.05% | Fair line: 2023.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Colwyn Bay
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath

Is betting on Colwyn Bay worth it?

🔵 Colwyn Bay: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – profiting $118.80;
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$108.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $70.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$920.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gresford Ath?

🔴 Gresford Ath: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 13.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Colwyn Bay
⚽ Expected goals: 4.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Colwyn Bay and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.75 Colwyn Bay.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.75 Gresford Ath.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colwyn Bay x Gresford Ath

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 4.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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