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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Colwyn Bay x Penybont Betting tips for November 25 in Wales Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Wales Premier League
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
PREDICTION Penybont Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Penybont Penybont
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Colwyn Bay x Penybont Betting tips for November 25 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Colwyn Bay x Penybont, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay
4.10
X
3.60
Penybont Penybont
1.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Colwyn Bay x Penybont:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Penybont wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penybont, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Colwyn Bay x Penybont:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Colwyn Bay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-173.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Penybont scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Penybont matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Colwyn Bay conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Penybont conceded at least 2 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Colwyn Bay x Penybont

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Colwyn Bay x Penybont?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Colwyn Bay x Penybont, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Colwyn Bay x Penybont for the Wales Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Colwyn Bay X Penybont – Wales Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Colwyn Bay – Winning probability: 9.34% | Fair line: 10.71
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.61% | Fair line: 5.37
๐Ÿ”ด Penybont – Winning probability: 72.06% | Fair line: 1.39
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Colwyn Bay
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Colwyn Bay x Penybont right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Colwyn Bay x Penybont

Should you bet on Colwyn Bay?

๐Ÿ”ต Colwyn Bay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $279.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$631.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$316.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Penybont?

๐Ÿ”ด Penybont: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$260.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Colwyn Bay x Penybont

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Colwyn Bay
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colwyn Bay x Penybont

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Colwyn Bay and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Colwyn Bay.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Colwyn Bay.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colwyn Bay x Penybont

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves