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Home » Predictions » Others » Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20 Betting tips for January 6 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Tuesday, 06 January 2026, 21h00 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Comercial U20 Comercial U20
PREDICTION Comercial U20 wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Noroeste U20 Noroeste U20
ODD: @1.53
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Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20 Betting tips for January 6 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20, Tuesday, 6/1/2026
📅 6/1/2026
21:00
Comercial U20 Comercial U20
1.53
X
3.80
Noroeste U20 Noroeste U20
5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20:

🔮 Comercial U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Comercial U20, you can win up to $765.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20:

👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Noroeste U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Noroeste U20 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Noroeste U20 conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 6 of January

🏟️ Comercial U20 X Noroeste U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 6 of January, 2026 – 21:00
🔵 Comercial U20 – Winning probability: 78.36% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.18% | Fair line: 6.59
🔴 Noroeste U20 – Winning probability: 6.46% | Fair line: 15.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Comercial U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Tips for the 1×2 market for Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20

When the best bet on Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460125 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it a good idea to bet on Comercial U20?

🔵 Comercial U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – profiting $413.40;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$193.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Should you bet on Noroeste U20?

🔴 Noroeste U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Comercial U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Comercial U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Comercial U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Comercial U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Comercial U20 x Noroeste U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves