Compostela x Somozas Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Compostela x Somozas, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 18:00

Compostela 1.54

X 3.60

Somozas 5.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Compostela x Somozas:

🔮 Compostela wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Compostela, you can win up to $770.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Compostela x Somozas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Compostela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Somozas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $300.0.
👉 Somozas did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Compostela scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Somozas, Compostela scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Somozas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Compostela x Somozas, with Compostela as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Compostela has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Somozas.

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Analysis from Compostela x Somozas for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Compostela x Somozas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Compostela x Somozas

Is betting on Compostela worth it?

🔵 Compostela: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $388.80;
• And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$108.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $546.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Somozas?

🔴 Somozas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $318.50;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$611.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Compostela x Somozas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Compostela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Compostela x Somozas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Compostela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Compostela.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Somozas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Compostela x Somozas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.