Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU Betting tips for November 2 in Wales Premier League

Our betting tip for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 14:30

Connahs Quay 1.95

X 3.31

Cardiff MU 3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU

The main points for the tip for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Connahs Quay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-133.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cardiff MU in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $242.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Connahs Quay scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cardiff MU, Connahs Quay scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Connahs Quay matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU, with Connahs Quay as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Connahs Quay conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Connahs Quay has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Cardiff MU.

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Analysis from Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU for the Wales Premier League – 2 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU

Is it worth betting on Connahs Quay?

🔵 Connahs Quay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $494.00;
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $577.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cardiff MU?

🔴 Cardiff MU: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $552.00;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Connahs Quay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Connahs Quay and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Connahs Quay.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Cardiff MU.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Connahs Quay x Cardiff MU

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.