Conquense x Real Sociedad Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 5/12/2024 20:00 |
 Conquense12.00 |
X 5.98 |
Real Sociedad  1.22 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Conquense x Real Sociedad:
🔮 Real Sociedad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad, you can win up to $610.00!
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The main points for the tip for Conquense x Real Sociedad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Conquense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0. |
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Analysis from Conquense x Real Sociedad for the Spain Copa del Rey – 5 of December
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🏟️ Conquense X Real Sociedad – Spain Copa del Rey |
When the best bet on Conquense x Real Sociedad is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232417 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Conquense x Real Sociedad
Is it a good idea to bet on Conquense?
🔵 Conquense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
- And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $49.80;
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$940.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on Real Sociedad?
🔴 Real Sociedad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $217.80;
- And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$207.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Conquense x Real Sociedad
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Conquense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Conquense x Real Sociedad
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.0 Conquense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Conquense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Real Sociedad.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Conquense x Real Sociedad
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
