Corinthians x Palmeiras Betting tips for March 28 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Palmeiras, Friday, 28/3/2025

📅 28/3/2025 00:35

Corinthians 3.05

X 3.10

Palmeiras 2.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Corinthians x Palmeiras:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Corinthians x Palmeiras: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $96.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $105.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Palmeiras matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Corinthians is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Palmeiras has not lost any of them. 👉 Corinthians has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Palmeiras playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Palmeiras?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Palmeiras, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Corinthians x Palmeiras for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 28 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corinthians x Palmeiras right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1289949 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Corinthians x Palmeiras

Is it a good idea to bet on Corinthians?

🔵 Corinthians: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $389.50
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$420.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $840.00
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$240.00.

Should you bet on Palmeiras?

🔴 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $512.50;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$77.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Palmeiras

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Palmeiras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Corinthians.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Palmeiras.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Palmeiras

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.