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Home » Predictions » Others » Coritiba x Botafogo SP Betting tips for November 22 in Brazil Serie B
Friday, 22 November 2024, 22h00 Brazil Serie B
Coritiba Coritiba
PREDICTION Coritiba wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Coritiba x Botafogo SP Betting tips for November 22 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Coritiba x Botafogo SP, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
22:00
Coritiba Coritiba
1.57
X
3.54
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
5.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Coritiba x Botafogo SP:

🔮 Coritiba wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Coritiba, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Coritiba x Botafogo SP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Coritiba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $73.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $430.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Botafogo SP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Coritiba conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Coritiba x Botafogo SP for the Brazil Serie B – 22 of November

🏟️ Coritiba X Botafogo SP – Brazil Serie B
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Coritiba – Winning probability: 75.86% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.58% | Fair line: 5.38
🔴 Botafogo SP – Winning probability: 5.56% | Fair line: 17.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Coritiba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Coritiba x Botafogo SP right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225887 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Coritiba x Botafogo SP

Is betting on Coritiba worth it?

🔵 Coritiba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $433.20;
  • And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$193.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $482.60;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$327.40.

Is betting on Botafogo SP worth it?

🔴 Botafogo SP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $285.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$655.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Coritiba x Botafogo SP

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Coritiba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Coritiba x Botafogo SP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Coritiba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Coritiba.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Coritiba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Coritiba x Botafogo SP

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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