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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas Betting tips for September 26 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Thursday, 26 September 2024, 22h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Correcaminos Correcaminos
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 29% 1 X 2
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas Betting tips for September 26 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas, Thursday, 26/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 26/9/2024
22:00
Correcaminos Correcaminos
3.40
X
3.50
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
1.87

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mineros de Zacatecas did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Mineros de Zacatecas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Correcaminos has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Mineros de Zacatecas playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 26 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Correcaminos X Mineros de Zacatecas – Mexico Liga de Expansion
๐Ÿ“… 26 of September, 2024 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Correcaminos – Winning probability: 16.44% | Fair line: 6.08
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.56% | Fair line: 3.38
๐Ÿ”ด Mineros de Zacatecas – Winning probability: 54.00% | Fair line: 1.85
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Correcaminos
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Correcaminos and Mineros de Zacatecas.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1188870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

Is betting on Correcaminos worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Correcaminos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$456.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $750.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$50.00.

Is it worth betting on Mineros de Zacatecas?

๐Ÿ”ด Mineros de Zacatecas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $469.80;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$9.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Correcaminos
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Correcaminos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Correcaminos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Correcaminos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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